How a two-year funding desert is reshaping startup strategy—and what the data tells founders who are stuck in between.

Something strange has happened to the startup funding ladder. The neat, sequential march from seed to Series A—once a rite of passage that took 12 to 18 months—has quietly broken down. In its place, a messy middle has emerged: a limbo zone where thousands of startups sit with seed capital running low, Series A expectations climbing higher, and no clear path forward.

Welcome to the era of the bridge round. What was once a red flag—a signal that a company couldn’t raise a “real” round—has become one of the most common funding events in the startup ecosystem. In the second quarter of 2025, bridge rounds accounted for roughly 16.6% of all startup capital raised on Carta, up from 11.8% a year earlier. At the Series A stage specifically, bridge rounds made up 22.5% of all cash raised.

This isn’t a blip. It’s a structural shift in how startups get funded—and it has profound implications for founders, seed investors, and the broader venture capital ecosystem.

The Numbers: A Longer, Harder Road to Series A

Let’s start with the headline figure. The median time between a seed round and a Series A has stretched to approximately 2.1 years—or around 616 to 696 days, depending on the dataset. That’s up from roughly 500 days just two years ago, and a far cry from the 12–18 month cadence that prevailed during the 2020–2021 venture boom.

But timelines only tell part of the story. Conversion rates tell the rest. According to Carta’s cohort data, only about 15.5% of startups that raised seed rounds in early 2023 had successfully raised a Series A within two years. Compare that to cohorts from 2020 and earlier, when conversion rates in the same window reached 35–50%. The 2021 cohort saw only 36% graduate beyond seed; the 2022 cohort managed just 20%.

The math is stark: for every five startups that raise a seed round today, roughly four will never make it to Series A.


KEY DATA SNAPSHOT

• Median seed-to-Series A timeline: ~616–696 days (20–23 months)

• Bridge rounds as share of total capital raised: 16.6% in Q2 2025 (up from <10% in 2021)

• Seed-to-Series A conversion rate (2023 cohort): ~15.5%

• 42–46% of seed-stage financings in recent quarters were bridges, not priced rounds

• Series A deal volume in 2025: down 18% year-over-year

 

Why the Gap Exists: Rising Bars, Shrinking Ladders

The widening chasm between seed and Series A isn’t the result of any single factor. It’s a confluence of structural changes that have collectively moved the goalposts for what “Series A-ready” means.

The ARR bar keeps climbing

During the boom years, a startup could plausibly raise a Series A with $750K to $1M in annual recurring revenue. Those days are over. Today, the baseline expectation from most Series A investors sits at $2M or more in ARR—with many fintech and enterprise investors looking for $5M to $10M. The median Series A valuation has risen to roughly $48–49M pre-money, but the number of deals getting done has dropped 18% year-over-year, with total capital invested down 23%.

In short, investors are writing bigger checks to fewer companies. The bar has moved from “show me early product-market fit” to “show me a scalable, efficient growth engine.”

The seed market got flooded

The explosion of micro-VCs, accelerators, and angel syndicates in the past decade created a massive influx of seed-funded startups. But the number of active Series A investors hasn’t kept pace. The ratio of seed deals to Series A deals has ballooned from roughly 1:1 in 2008 to well over 2:1 today. More than a thousand startups are effectively “orphaned” each year—funded at seed but unable to move up the ladder.

Exits dried up, compressing the whole system

The slowdown isn’t just happening at Series A. Annual IPO count in the U.S. fell 62% from 2021 to 2024, while the total number of new venture rounds declined 36%. When later-stage exits freeze, VCs hold portfolio companies longer, LPs see fewer distributions, and fresh capital allocation tightens across every stage.

The Bridge Boom: Lifeline or Life Support?

Into this gap, bridge rounds have surged. These interim financing events—typically structured as convertible notes, SAFEs, or extensions of the prior round—give startups additional runway without requiring a new valuation. During the 2021 bull market, bridge rounds accounted for less than 10% of all capital raised. By Q2 2025, that figure had reached 16.6%, and at the seed stage specifically, some data points suggest that 42–46% of all seed financings are now bridges rather than priced rounds.

The semantics have shifted, too. Many bridge rounds now travel under softer labels—“seed extensions,” “pre-A rounds,” or “seed+”—but the underlying function is the same: providing additional capital to a company that hasn’t yet hit the metrics needed for the next formal stage.

Bridge rounds are overwhelmingly funded by existing investors. Institutional VCs generally prefer to participate in priced equity rounds that offer clearer ownership and governance terms. The practical result is that seed investors—who may have initially expected an 18-month deployment cycle—are increasingly being asked to re-up capital for another 12–24 months.

For founders, bridge rounds are a double-edged sword. On one hand, they keep the company alive and provide time to hit the higher milestones that Series A investors now demand. On the other hand, they often come with less favorable terms: shorter maturities (typically 12–24 months), conversion discounts that dilute founders further, and the implicit signal to future investors that the company couldn’t raise a priced round.

The AI Distortion: A Two-Track Market

No analysis of the current funding landscape is complete without addressing the AI elephant in the room. In 2025, AI startups attracted roughly 50% of all global venture funding—an astonishing concentration. Mega-seed rounds of $100M or more, once unheard of, have become routine for AI labs founded by researchers from OpenAI, Google, and Anthropic. In 2026, over 40% of all seed and Series A investment has gone to rounds of $100 million or more, according to Crunchbase.

This creates a deeply bifurcated market. On one track, a small number of AI companies raise in months what most startups raise in years. On the other track, the vast majority of startups—including strong companies building in SaaS, fintech, healthtech, and climate—face a funding environment that is more selective and slower-moving than at any point in the past decade.

The distortion also affects metrics. When AI companies with minimal revenue command valuations that dwarf revenue-generating SaaS businesses, it skews the median data and creates unrealistic reference points for founders and investors alike.

What Smart Founders Are Doing Differently

The startups navigating this gap most successfully tend to share a few common traits.

Planning for 24 months, not 18

The old rule of raising 18 months of runway at seed is no longer sufficient. Founders who recognize that the path to Series A now takes two years or more are raising larger seed rounds—median seed round sizes have climbed to around $3.1–3.6M—and managing burn rates accordingly. The goal is to reach “default alive” status: the point where the company can survive without additional funding.

Treating the bridge as a strategic tool, not a last resort

The most effective founders are reframing bridge rounds from a sign of weakness to a deliberate strategy. Rather than waiting until cash runs out, they proactively approach existing investors with a clear plan: specific milestones to hit, a defined timeline, and a credible path to a priced round. This approach maintains investor confidence and avoids the desperate dynamics that lead to punitive terms.

Obsessing over unit economics

Series A investors in 2026 want to see efficient growth: a burn multiple under 1.5x, net dollar retention above 100%, and a clear path to a 3:1 LTV-to-CAC ratio. The shift from “growth at all costs” to “efficient growth” is now the dominant evaluation framework. Founders who can demonstrate sustainable unit economics—even at modest scale—are far more likely to convert.

Building Series A relationships early

The days of running a three-week Series A process on momentum alone are largely gone. Successful founders are starting relationship-building with Series A investors 6–12 months before they plan to raise, sharing progress updates and establishing credibility over time. This is especially critical in a market where investors are taking longer to make decisions and conducting more rigorous diligence.

The Bigger Picture: Is This the New Normal?

There are two ways to read the bridge boom. The pessimistic view holds that it’s a symptom of a broken market—too much seed capital chasing too few Series A opportunities, with bridge rounds serving as expensive life support for companies that will never scale.

The more constructive view is that the normalization of bridge rounds reflects a healthier, more disciplined ecosystem. Companies are being given more time to prove product-market fit before being pushed into premature scaling. Seed investors and growth-stage investors are collaborating more closely. And the startups that do make it to Series A are arriving with stronger fundamentals than the “tourist capital” cohorts of 2021.

The data supports elements of both views. What’s clear is that the old playbook—raise a seed, sprint for 18 months, raise a Series A—no longer describes reality for the vast majority of startups. The gap between seed and Series A has become a distinct phase in the startup lifecycle, one that requires its own strategy, its own financing tools, and its own mindset.

For founders navigating this terrain, the message is straightforward: plan for a longer journey, manage cash with discipline, and treat every dollar of bridge capital as an investment in reaching the metrics that actually matter. The companies that emerge from the gap won’t just be survivors—they’ll be the strongest cohort of Series A companies in years.

 

Sources: Carta State of Private Markets (Q1–Q3 2025), Crunchbase, PitchBook, Dealroom, SaaS Capital.

SeedScope publishes data-driven analysis on early-stage venture capital. Subscribe at seedscope.com.

Ege Eksi

CMO

Share